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Here’s Why Recent Federal Reserve Rate Hikes May Not Boost Mortgage Rates

by
February 2, 2023
Home Advisor Best Mortgage Lenders 2022
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Homeowners are comparing printouts of their monthly mortgage statements on their couches.

Image Source: Getty Images

The Federal Reserve has been on a mission to keep inflation down since 2022. To that end, we have actively raised the base interest rate, but we are fully aware that this tends to indirectly increase borrowing costs for consumers.

The Federal Reserve wants consumers to start cutting back on spending. That’s the only way to keep inflation down, because if demand falls, supply can catch up. And what drives inflation in the first place is a disconnect between supply and demand.

Meanwhile, on February 1st, the Fed raised its benchmark interest rate by 0.25%. This is a smaller increase than recent rate hikes, but still an increase. And now there are concerns that consumers will pay more to borrow money, whether it’s a credit card balance or a personal loan.

But for those considering taking out a mortgage, costs won’t necessarily rise following this latest rate hike. Despite the Fed’s actions, can These rates tend to have their own mindset as they affect mortgage rates.

Mortgage rates tend to follow their own patterns

Last year, the Fed didn’t start raising its benchmark rate until March. At that time, it announced a gradual rate hike of 0.25%. It wasn’t until June that the central bank made his 0.75% rate hike quite aggressive.

MORE: Check Out Our Picks for the Best Mortgage Lenders

By the end of 2021, meanwhile, the average 30-year mortgage rate was just over 3%. By the end of January it was around 3.5%. And by May it was well over 5%.

Overall, mortgage rates rose significantly in 2022 before the Fed announced its first aggressive rate hike. And it lends itself to the argument that mortgage rates are less susceptible to Fed rate hikes than other borrowing products.

That’s a good thing, as the average 30-year mortgage rate was still above 6% as of late January. But it’s about double what borrowers would have faced in early 2022.

Mortgage rates could rise or fall this year

In light of all this, a clear question comes to mind. do What will mortgage rates be in 2023? And the answer is that it’s really hard to say.

It’s entirely possible that mortgage rates will continue to slowly decline as the year progresses. However, interest rates have risen along the way.

that’s one No In the mortgage world, 30 year loan rates may be back in the 3% range. But is it possible that interest rates will drop below 5% in 2023?

Ultimately, prospective homebuyers need to wait and see. But those looking to buy a home in the short term don’t necessarily need to panic about the Fed’s latest rate hike.

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We firmly believe in the Golden Rule. As such, our editorial opinion is ours alone and has not been previously reviewed, approved, or endorsed by any of the advertisers included. It does not mean. Editorial content for The Ascent is separate from editorial content for The Motley Fool and is produced by a separate team of analysts. Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.



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